03/09/18
NXT
A$6.98
A$7.80
BUY
Source: Bloomberg
Company Description
We rate NXT as a Buy for the following reasons:
We see the following key risks to our investment thesis:
Figure 1: NXT revenue by industry
Source: Company
Figure 2: Revenue by facility
NEXTDC Ltd (NXT) reported solid FY18 results, which saw revenue up +30% to $161.5m and the strong operating leverage saw underlying EBITDA increase by +28% to $62.6, both figures surpassing guidance ranges of $152 – 158m and $58 – 62m respectively.
We maintain our recommendation based upon: 1. NXT’s EBITDA growth – underscoring the Company’s effective operating leverage; 2. potential for further capacity expansion (new and existing facilities); 3. strong corporate cost performance and upcoming near term benefits of scale; 4. quality assets and locations; 5. positive outlook for industry growth; and 6. solid balance sheet
For FY19, management has announced the development of three new sites – P2, S3, M3 (following the opening B2 and S2 centres in FY18), and guides revenue between a range of $183 – 188m, Underlying EBITDA between $83 – 87m and CAPEX between $430 – 470m.
We have updated our earnings estimates and peer group trading multiples. For FY19E, we are largely in line with management’s guidance. Our equal-weighted and blended (DCF, PE-multiple, EV/EBITDA) valuation arrives at $7.80 per share.
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Key operating metrics for the FY18 are presented in the table below versus the previous corresponding period.
Figure 3: NXT FY18 results summary
Source: BTIG, Company
Figure 4: NXT Financial Summary
Source: BTIG, Company, Bloomberg
NXT Limited (NXT) is a Data-Center-as-a-Service (DCaaS) provider offering a range of services to corporate, government and IT services companies. NXT has a total of five data centers located in major commerce hubs in Australia, with three more due to be completed within the next 2 years. These facilities are network-neutral, meaning they operate independently of telecommunication and IT service providers. Currently NXT has a total of 34.7 MW built for data and serving housing, with a target to reach 104.1MW by the end of 1H18.
1st March 2020
1st October 2019
25th September 2019
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