Category: Analyst Research

Analyst Research

Goodman Group (GMG) – Neutral

Goodman Group Ltd (GMG) delivered solid FY18 results, with operating profit of $845.9m slightly above the highest analyst estimate of $845m. The outlook for FY19 also suggests momentum is continuing (with management guiding towards +7% EPS growth versus usual +6%…

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Insurance Australia Group (IAG) – NEUTRAL

While IAG performed well in its underlying insurance business for FY18, it saw weak performance from shareholder fund returns.

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Estia Health (EHE) – NEUTRAL

EHE’s FY18 results came in line with management’s guidance. For FY18 vs. previous corresponding period (pcp), group revenue was up +4.1% and operating earnings (EBITDA) were also up +4.1%,

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GPT Group (GPT) – Neutral

GPT Group’s (GPT) 1H18 results were solid with Funds from Operation (FFO) growth per security of +3.4% and distribution growth per security up +2.5% on pcp, representing a payout ratio of 97.7%.

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Telstra Corporation (TLS) – NEUTRAL

TLS reported its FY18 results, with EPS, NPAT and EBITA coming in above analyst estimates by +5.7%, +4.4% and +0.7%, respectively. However, this beat was driven by lower depreciation expense relative to expectation due to TLS extending the useful life…

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Sonic Healthcare (SHL) – NEUTRAL

Sonic Healthcare (SHL) FY18 results were largely in line with management guidance, with earnings (EBITDA) up +6.4% on a constant currency basis over the previous corresponding period (pcp), albeit at the lower end of the 6-8% guided.

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Australian Stock Exchange Limited (ASX) – Sell

ASX reported FY18 results which showed the strongest revenue growth in 8 years, this in turn translated into statutory NPAT up +2.5% to $445.1m or underlying NPAT up +7.2% to $465.3m, and equated to underlying EPS up +7.1% to 240.4cps…

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Treasury Wines (TWE) – NEUTRAL

TWE reported a strong FY18 result, with group operating earnings (EBITS) up +16.5%, driven by ANZ (up +22.5%) and Asia (up +36.7%).

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Origin Energy (ORG) – BUY

ORG’s share price took a hit post FY18 results release, with management expecting FY19 Energy Markets EBITDA of $1.5bn – 1.6bn, indicating a 12-17% decline year-on-year and well below consensus estimates.

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Woodside Petroleum (WPL) – BUY

Woodside Petroleum (WPL) first half FY18 (1H18) result was largely in line with expectations, with underlying NPAT of $566m up +11% on pcp and sales revenue up +27% to $2.25bn.

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QBE Insurance Group (QBE) – BUY

QBE Insurance (QBE) reported improved 1H18 results where management amended its FY18 combined operating ratio guidance slightly to 95.0% – 97.0%, albeit tightened its investment returns expectations to 2.25% – 2.75% (to exclude LatAm operations).

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InvoCare Ltd (IVC) – BUY

InvoCare Ltd (IVC) reported disappointing 1H18 results which missed market expectations (the share price was down -8.8% as EPS consensus estimates were missed by -5.6%).

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